UC-11 Any time SEO leadExecAnalyst
Is this number trustworthy?
A number is about to go into a deck. Before it does, you want to know whether it would survive someone asking how you know.
What you'd type
-
Is this change statistically significant? -
Did conversion rate really move, or is that noise? -
Can I put this number in the board deck?
You never name a skill or a tool. The assistant routes on what you asked. Run it on your own data →
What comes back
Conversion rate is up 12%, can I put that in the board deck?
Analysis plan, every step, resolved for you
- Routed to the governed workflow
significance-referee - Dates bound explicitly
Jul 2026 - 1 analysis queued
pop_significance - Honesty gates armed
significance α=0.05 · scope echo · freshness
Not yet. The lift is there in the raw numbers, but the sample cannot separate it from normal month-to-month variance.
- Conversion rate
- 3.41% ▲ +12.2% goal: Trial started
- Sessions
- 48.2K the denominator, and the reason the test cannot resolve
Jul 2026 vs Jun 2026organic
⚠ Observationalas of Aug 1, 2026 (web analytics loads nightly)IllustrativeOpen in Quattr ↗
The interval spans zero: a 6% decline and a 31% gain are both consistent with this data.
- Verdict
- Noise, not signal
- p-value
- 0.19
- 95% CI
- −5.8% to +31.4%
At this session volume, roughly nine more weeks would be needed to resolve a lift this size.
Jul 2026 vs Jun 2026organic
⚠ Observationalas of Aug 1, 2026 (web analytics loads nightly)IllustrativeOpen in Quattr ↗
Report it as flat, or report it with the interval attached. "Up 12%" on its own is a claim this data cannot support.
A simulated conversation on fictional data. Scope, freshness and the ⚠ Observational marker are attached by the same director that renders every demo on this site.
The answer is sometimes no
A significance test can return three verdicts, and "cannot tell yet" is one of them. When the sample is too small to distinguish a real change from variance, that is what the card says, it does not round the verdict up to make the slide easier to write.
What's behind it
Analyses it runs
significance_checkpop_significancecorrelate_domains
Sources it reads
The skills that own this
- Real vs noise, refereed at α = 0.05. Stats · 2 analyses
- Do two metrics actually move together? Stats · 1 analysis
- When something looks wrong, diagnose. Utilities · 6 analyses
The dashboard rituals it replaces
- Conversion spike: real? 8 steps · 3 menus · 0 significance
- Year-over-year, with verdict 8 steps · 3 menus · 1 weekly drill
Going deeper
- Real or noise: statistical significance for search metrics, in plain language 4 min
- Correlation ≠ causation in search analytics 3 min
- Holdout designs for SEO testing 3 min
See this use case run for real
All runs →
3 min 4 secThe fix shipped. Traffic rose. Now two teams want the credit.Lighthouse + Search Console + Rank tracking · Significance referee · Cross domain correlator◐Recreated from an anonymized session
2 min 26 secConversion rate fell 7.5%. The number is real. The panic is not.Web analytics · Significance referee◐Recreated from an anonymized session
2 min 2 secSomething went right this quarter. Now prove it before you say it out loud.Rank tracking + Search Console · SERP feature watch · Significance referee◐Recreated from an anonymized session