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UC-11 Any time SEO leadExecAnalyst

Is this number trustworthy?

A number is about to go into a deck. Before it does, you want to know whether it would survive someone asking how you know.

What you'd type

  • Is this change statistically significant?
  • Did conversion rate really move, or is that noise?
  • Can I put this number in the board deck?

You never name a skill or a tool. The assistant routes on what you asked. Run it on your own data →

What comes back

Use case: Is this number trustworthy? Simulated · illustrative

Conversion rate is up 12%, can I put that in the board deck?

Analysis plan, every step, resolved for you

  • Routed to the governed workflowsignificance-referee
  • Dates bound explicitlyJul 2026
  • 1 analysis queuedpop_significance
  • Honesty gates armedsignificance α=0.05 · scope echo · freshness

Not yet. The lift is there in the raw numbers, but the sample cannot separate it from normal month-to-month variance.

Conversion rate
3.41% ▲ +12.2% goal: Trial started
Sessions
48.2K the denominator, and the reason the test cannot resolve

Jul 2026 vs Jun 2026organic

⚠ Observationalas of Aug 1, 2026 (web analytics loads nightly)IllustrativeOpen in Quattr ↗

The interval spans zero: a 6% decline and a 31% gain are both consistent with this data.

Verdict
Noise, not signal
p-value
0.19
95% CI
−5.8% to +31.4%

At this session volume, roughly nine more weeks would be needed to resolve a lift this size.

Jul 2026 vs Jun 2026organic

⚠ Observationalas of Aug 1, 2026 (web analytics loads nightly)IllustrativeOpen in Quattr ↗

Report it as flat, or report it with the interval attached. "Up 12%" on its own is a claim this data cannot support.

A simulated conversation on fictional data. Scope, freshness and the ⚠ Observational marker are attached by the same director that renders every demo on this site.

The answer is sometimes no

A significance test can return three verdicts, and "cannot tell yet" is one of them. When the sample is too small to distinguish a real change from variance, that is what the card says, it does not round the verdict up to make the slide easier to write.

What's behind it

Analyses it runs

  • significance_check
  • pop_significance
  • correlate_domains

Sources it reads

The skills that own this

The dashboard rituals it replaces

Going deeper