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derived metric clicks over the window (modeled) ·

CTR impact

also called Expectation-gap impactWeighted CTR gap

Definition

How material a row's expectation gap is, expressed in clicks: the size of the gap multiplied by the impressions it applies to.

How it's calculated

impact = |actualCtr − expectedCtr| × impressions, rounded to two decimals. It is the ranking key for both the over-performer and the under-performer lists.

Scope, grain and dimensions

Grain
One keyword × one page × the window.
Dimensions
query · page · brand · intent · device
Required filters
date range
Aggregation
Row-level, and deliberately unsigned, direction lives in the CTR delta, magnitude lives here.
Metric type
derived metric · clicks over the window (modeled)

Data sources

Where you'll see this

Named reports that normally include this metric.

CTR opportunity report

Skills and analyses that use it

Skills carry the judgment; the analysis verbs do the reading.

Analysis verbs

ctr_curve_model

Method rungs and levers

R2 Retrieved

A rung tells you what a movement here can and cannot explain, read the rungs below it first.

levers L3 Refresh & content quality

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How to read it

The reason the worklist is ordered the way it is: a large gap on a rarely-seen query is worth less than a small gap on a heavily-seen one. It sizes materiality, and it should never be read as clicks that were lost, the expectation is modeled, not observed.

Caveats, freshness and failure modes

Absolute value: a large impact figure can belong to an over-performer, so it is only interpretable beside the sign of the gap.

Modeled against a fitted expectation, so it inherits every caveat on that curve, including its non-stationarity.

Holds impressions constant at their observed level, a rewrite that changes ranking changes the impressions too.

Freshness
1 to 2 days behind, Google's own reporting lag. Any answer touching the last 48 hours says so on the card.

Common failure modes

  • Reporting the impact figure as clicks lost to a bad title.
  • Summing impact across a worklist and presenting the total as a recoverable number.

Verification

Last verified 2026-08-04 · reference version 1.1 { } This metric as JSON ↗